A particular aspect of the complex systems approach lies in the determination of Continuum Models that describe swarms, schools, herds or crowds through average quantities such as the number of individuals per square meter at a given location and a given time. These quantities obey partial differential equations which bear strong similarities with the equations of a gas like air or a fluid like water. Continuum models give access to large-scale observables such as the motion of the crowd boundary, the direction and intensity of the flow or the amount of ‘turbulence’. These observables are easily identified on the experimental data and can be used to calibrate the coefficients of the Continuum Models. The establishment of a mathematical correspondence between the Continuum and Individual-Based Models provides a systematic link between large scale observables and the individuals’ behavior. This talk will report examples where this correspondence can be performed and improvements that can be expected from this approach from the view points of data analysis and model predictability.
Joint work with Guy Theraulaz (CNRS & University of Toulouse, Centre de Recherches sur la Cognition Animale)
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